The e-book ‘Climate Change for Astronomers’ led by Dr. Travis Rector addresses how astronomers can communicate and educate others on the science of climate change. The purpose of the book and the first chapter is summarised here. For this bite, I summarise the second half of Chapter 7, written by astronomers Dr. Travis Rector and Dr. Ka Chun Yu.
While existing energy sources along with biomass energy, nuclear fission power, hydro-electric, geothermal, and hydrogen energy storage were discussed in this bite (the first half), this section of the chapter discusses the energy sources we could potentially rely on in the future. It is necessary to consider additional alternatives to present day options for renewables (such as solar, wind) and non-renewable energy sources (such as fossil fuels), because having a broad range of options available will allow us to deal with the pros and cons of various energy sources. It will be unrealistic to completely replace coal with a single source of renewable energy. Some sources may not be feasible options or financially viable in particular environments and regions, and it is important to understand why this is the case. However, we can work to redesign energy infrastructure that combines the power of many different energy sources in a clever way. This bite will cover the possibility of using ocean power, nuclear fusion power and their pros and cons. Apart from this we can consider the possibility of carbon capture (to reduce emissions), smart methods of storing energy, and approaches to making our energy usage more efficient by modifying our energy infrastructure.
Future and alternative solutions
Ocean power (renewable energy)
Ocean power is an approach in which energy is captured from the ocean’s waves and movements. It can involve placing a device at the surface of the ocean, such as a tidal turbine – these are analogous to wind turbines but operate underwater. Alternatively, there are various kinds of wave energy converters.
Pros: Ocean tides are generally quite predictable; some wave energy converters that rely on ocean waves are somewhat weather dependent (since wind creates waves), but less so than wind turbines. Furthermore, during operation, no emissions are produced from these devices. Unlike wind turbines, they don’t create much noise or impact views.
Cons: There is a high cost associated with the maintenance of these devices due to corrosion from water. The presence of these devices may also have impacts on marine environments that need to be considered. Ocean power may be readily available to cities close to the ocean (which most cities are), however they are only suitable when strong tides are present.
Nuclear fusion energy
Nuclear fusion power captures energy released by nuclei fusing together, in contrast to nuclear fission, in which energy is released by heavy nuclei decaying into daughter particles. Unlike in the Sun, in which the fusion process starts with the proton-proton chain, in reactors it starts with the fusion of deuterium and tritium. The deuterium and tritium react to create an alpha particle (helium without electrons) and neutrons; most of the energy in the reaction is transferred to the neutrons, which are captured by a blanket (a layer of material). The energy of the neutrons heat water, which creates steam, which spins a turbine, resulting in electricity.
Pros: The energy density associated with the fuel in nuclear fusion is even greater than that of fission, meaning that fusion is much more efficient in that more energy is available in the same mass of fuel used for fission than fusion. There is also no risk of radioactivity, nuclear meltdowns, or radioactive waste (at least in ideal operation).
Cons: Nuclear fusion reactors require tritium to start the reactions, but tritium has a half life of ~12.3 years and is thus not found naturally. Some tritium is produced in the fusion reactors, but generally the output is not as much as the required input, leaving a bottleneck. If this problem cannot be resolved by finding another way to produce tritium, nuclear fusion is not feasible on industrial scales as an energy source. While the blanket that captures the neutrons shields the surroundings from excess neutron and gamma ray flux, some of this radiation still escapes. This damages the steel enclosures for the reactors and damages it. It can also thus create radioactive waste and components of the reactors need to be replaced. There is a possibility that the energetic neutrons that escape the reactor can be used to build nuclear weapons.
Carbon Capture
Carbon capture refers to storing CO2. This includes capturing CO2 from power plants or industrial plants, before it is released into the environment. Carbon capture and sequestration (CSS) was first used to enhance the recovery of gas and oil from underground; in the process of recovering oil or gas, pressurized CO2 is pumped underground where it ends up permanently captured and sequestered in rock formations. However, CSS can involve capturing carbon from industrial plants by mixing the CO2 with chemicals that bind with it, which results in a solution that is heated and leaves the CO2 as a concentrated liquid. This captured CO2 can be stored underground. Another approach called mineral carbonation involves a chemical reaction of CO2 with minerals to form carbonates that are unlikely to return to the atmosphere; the CO2 is injected into a mineral-rich environment in this process. Alternatively CO2 can be used to produce synthetic fuels that are thus carbon neutral, although this approach is unlikely to be economically viable.
Pros: Under the right conditions captured CO2 will be stored for thousands of years in rock formations. Carbon capture can and has been used to enhance the recovery of oil and gas from gas processing plants successfully, with 70% of proposed carbon capture operations in these plants still in operation (although there is still a net release of carbon dioxide from the recovered oil and gas in these cases).
Cons: Since the process of CCS uses some of the generated energy from a power plant it can drive up the price of electricity. Furthermore, carbon capture has historically had a high failure rate for coal-fired power plants. This is due to large capital costs, and that this process has to go through a number of testing phases before it can be employed at an industrial scale, leaving little incentive to go through with it. There is a large financial risk associated with the CCS operations, which has led to the failure of many of them. The high failure-rate for coal-fired power plants is attributed to the decline in price of natural gas which has made coal-fired plants more expensive to operate, and retrofitting for CSS increases these costs.
Negative Emissions Technologies
Another approach is to capture the CO2 that has already been released into the environment. For example, direct air capture of CO2 involves pulling it directly from the air by binding it with chemicals embedded in porous filters. Alternatively, one can remove CO2 from the ocean in various ways; one way involves promoting the growth of algae, which absorbs CO2 and takes it down to the bottom of the ocean when it dies, or promoting the growth of coastal ecosystems like mangroves, which absorb and store CO2 in the soil along the coastline. The planting of trees and reforestation can also achieve this.
Pros: Removing CO2 from the ocean is efficient (if taking this approach) since the ocean absorbs so much of it. The storage of CO2 in coastal ecosystems is also highly efficient; they can store ~100 times more carbon than rainforests. Furthermore, removing CO2 with these approaches provides an opportunity to better manage various ecosystems, and these approaches are cheaper than storing carbon in rocks and minerals.
Cons: Removing CO2 from the air (in the direct air capture approach) can be challenging due to the low density, so a large volume of air needs to be processed. This process also requires electricity and heat to run. CO2 that is stored in flora has an associated risk; natural disasters like fires can allow for the stored CO2 to be quickly released. In general, the monitoring and verification of how much carbon has been removed in these methods is poorly standardized at present. These approaches are risky to rely upon as a sole approach to addressing climate change and require further maturation.
Energy Storage in batteries
Energy storage with batteries can aid in storing excess energy from sources such as wind or solar power. Batteries are currently used already in electric vehicles, phones, laptops, grid-scale energy storage and more. Different kinds of batteries (lithium-ion, lead-acid, nickel-cadmium) have different ideal operating conditions, uses, and various strengths and weaknesses. As such, batteries can be designed in various ways for different purposes.
Pros: Generally, they are useful when energy output or requirements and demands vary on short timescales. Batteries in electric vehicles have bi-directional charge capability, allowing energy to be transferred between the vehicle and grid in both directions. These batteries can also hold enough energy to sustain a typical household for about 2 days. R&D is underway for batteries that recharge faster, are safer, have lower cost and are easier to recycle.
Cons: Batteries can lose charge over time, making them less ideal for long term storage, as well as losing their capacity over time. However ‘flow batteries’ (or regenerative fuel cells) are more well suited for long term storage. Lithium-ion batteries can be damaged in extreme temperatures (hot or cold), and can be dangerous if they catch fire or explode. Lead-acid batteries have safety risks while charging. Batteries require a lot of materials including nickel, lithium, manganese and cobalt. Only Australia, Chile and China mine lithium which is the most in-demand for the growing market for these batteries. The mining of these materials creates their own environmental concerns.
Alternative energy storage options
These allow us to store excess energy (such as from wind or solar) and include:
- Gravity – storing energy using gravitational potential; mass is raised when excess energy is available, and lowered when energy is required (thus turning an electrical generator). ‘Pumped hydro’ involves storing water pumped uphill in a reservoir, and accounts for 90% of global energy storage.
- Flywheels – these devices store energy in their rotational motion. They can be slowed as required to extract energy, but are more useful for short timescales.
- Hydrogen energy – this was discussed in the previous bite for the first half of the chapter, but essentially this is the storage of energy in hydrogen fuel cells, which is a device that can produce energy from oxygen and hydrogen.
- Heat – heated water, for example, stores energy that can be used at a later time by converting it to electricity. Solar-thermal power is one such approach, in which a system collects heat during the day that can be used in the evening or when there is cloud cover.
- Compressed air – air can be compressed and stored in a container and released (spinning a turbine) when energy is required.
Reduced emissions by increased energy efficiency
There are various ways we could simply reduce our energy requirements. By following green building standards, we can reduce energy required to heat or cool buildings by optimizing their insulation, using heat-resistant materials, and reducing air leakage (see for example Energy Star or LEED). Likewise, optimal choices can be made for heating and cooling systems in buildings; load on these systems can be reduced by using ‘dynamic glass’ that changes in opacity in response to sunlight. Energy-efficient LEDs can reduce electricity usage, and building automation systems can monitor and control the use of lighting, heating and air-conditioning. Newer buildings can be designed to maximise natural ventilation, block or allow natural sunlight, use more sustainable materials, and take the impacts on the surrounding environment into consideration. Homes built with more efficient energy usage can also have the cost of their electricity bill reduced. Wasted food also contributes to energy loss and inefficiency, and is responsible for about 8% of greenhouse gas emissions. Reducing global food waste will thus reduce emissions.
How solutions we implement may need to vary by sector
In considering the residential sector, it is possible that many home appliances can be switched to electric (e.g. switching stoves that use gas to induction stoves). Most of the energy used in the residential sector is for heating, air conditioning and ventilation. Heat pumps (which are completely electrical devices), can replace conventional furnaces to completely electrify these needs (which is greener if the electricity is produced from a renewable source). The commercial sector has similar issues (and thus solutions). However, there is also the opportunity to identify areas for improvement in terms of energy efficiency by installing energy management systems to track and manage energy in large buildings, which was mentioned in the previous section.
The industrial and transportation sectors will be much harder to decarbonize. In the industrial sector, most emissions come from the production of cement and the production of steel (accounting for 8% of global emissions). This is because the process heating used to produce steel (and cement) is highly energy intensive. Adding CO2 to concrete can actually help reduce emission as well as make the material itself stronger. Further, hydrogen combustion can be used in process heating to replace fossil fuels (e.g. to make ‘green steel’), but it is more costly. It also requires us to ensure the hydrogen is not produced from fossil fuels in the first place, but is produced using renewable approaches.
Finally, the transportation sector is most reliant on fossil fuels, but there are potential solutions for reducing emissions. Regarding automobiles, there has been growth in the use of electric vehicles (EVs), which are in some ways more energy efficient than internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles. EVs don’t lose energy while they are idle, and even convert some kinetic energy back to potential energy from ‘regenerative braking’. Over their lifetime, EVs have ~⅓ of the emissions of an ICE – this calculation includes emissions from charging the vehicle (due to the average mix of electricity produced in the US market), and emissions released in the process of manufacturing it. On the downside, range can be an issue for EVs, since more planning is needed for travelling long distances (it takes more time to charge an EV than to fuel up an ICE). On top of that, the battery of the EV can lose capacity over time, although the batteries typically don’t need to be replaced in the lifetime of the vehicle. EVs are more expensive to purchase currently, even if money is saved over the lifetime of owning it, compared to an ICE. It is possible we could consider hydrogen combustion for automobiles, but existing engines can’t easily be modified, and hydrogen is more expensive than electricity or fuel if produced from renewables. It is also hard to find somewhere to refuel with since it is more difficult to store hydrogen.
Aside from burning fossil fuels, aircraft release soot and aerosols at high altitudes that form cirrus clouds and contribute to warming via radiative forcing. It will be difficult to replace fuel in aircrafts with hydrogen combustion because fuel is much easier to store (it can be stored in the wings) and has a higher specific energy (energy per unit mass). One can consider batteries, but they also have a much lower specific energy than fossil fuels. Batteries also do not ‘burn off’ and this limits the distances aircraft can fly. However, using electric aircraft may allow the regional air travel market to grow due to the lower maintenance costs of electric aircraft. There is also some possibility to have hydrogen combustion aircraft, which will partially reduce emissions, but will still face some issues related to storage of the hydrogen, radiative forcing and energy capacity of the hydrogen per unit volume. However, there is some work being done to replace current aircraft fuels with more sustainable fuel options (such as biofuels).
Some final points to consider
It is possible various solutions can be combined to reduce fossil fuel emissions. For example, solar and wind are promising, but solar power generates more energy during the day, so the use of batteries for storage (or perhaps methods like pumped hydro) allow us to use the excess energy later, when the output from solar power is lower at nighttime. We could also possibly mix solar and wind power with methods like geothermal or hydroelectric energy as a baseload (these methods were discussed in the previous bite if you need to recall them). Creative solutions can allow us to deal with the disadvantages of individual approaches.
We can consider switching to decentralized energy grids, or just ‘smarter’ grids. For example, High Voltage Direct Current (HVDC) reduces the loss of energy over long distances, compared to using standard AC. Having smaller producers of energy in local regions may also allow some more flexibility; for example, due to varying weather in different regions it may warrant dispatching different energy sources in different areas. It may be possible to even have energy distributed on the scale of individual homes (think solar power and also storage in batteries), or operators in localised regions may distribute energy according to the local environment to optimize storage and usage. In such a case, there may be economic benefits to doing so for the entire grid.
Renewables also tend to get cheaper over time; this is supported by something called Wright’s law, which says that more learning and experience tends to reduce the cost of a product each time it is produced. Interestingly, decarbonising the grid might also actually be cheaper for everyone – regardless of the need to do so to tackle climate change. From this textbook chapter, ‘an analysis by the Deloitte Economics Institute found that inaction on climate change could cost the U.S. economy $14.5 Trillion by 2070’ and ‘the U.S. economy could gain $3 trillion, and add nearly 1 million more jobs, if it rapidly decarbonizes over the next 50 years’.
Overall, the barriers to climate change are more political and social (see more about that in this bite) than many have been led to believe – the ideas and solutions we need exist, and decarbonising is actually possible. We don’t need to despair, but we do need to start acting to start tackling the problem.
Edited by Katherine Lee